NFL odds: How Justin Herbert’s damage impacted Week 3, MVP traces

By Patrick Everson
FOX Sports activities Playing Author

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert is formally listed as questionable for Sunday’s dwelling recreation in opposition to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Oddsmakers and bettors seemingly beg to vary. The JagsChargers recreation noticed a major Friday afternoon drop on the NFL Week 3 oddsboard, for each the purpose unfold and the full. In different phrases, Herbert isn’t anticipated to take a snap Sunday.


It went just about simply as veteran oddsmaker Rex Beyers predicted in a Thursday morning FOX Sports report.

“The road and whole gained’t shut wherever close to the place they’re now, 7 and 47.5,” Beyers mentioned then. “The unfold might be 3 factors greater or 3 factors decrease, possibly 4, relying on if Herbert performs.”

New Numbers


Certainly, by the point the mud settled Friday afternoon, the Chargers dropped from a consensus 7-point favourite all the way down to -3. That each one occurred within the span of about 45 minutes, even with no official phrase on Herbert’s standing as he works via a rib damage. About an hour later got here Herbert’s formal designation of questionable. Whereas some sharp bettors seemingly beat the information and made bets on Jaguars +7/+6/+5 and many others., oddsmakers had been undoubtedly on prime of the state of affairs.

“We bought forward of the transfer and the [questionable] tag,” mentioned Neil Fitzroy, danger supervisor/oddsmaker at The SuperBook. “We took a Jags wager at +4 from a revered participant. We’re at the moment at Chargers -3 (-120). He hasn’t been dominated out but. But when he’s, [the line] ought to go down one other level or so.”


Likewise, WynnBet dropped from Chargers -7 to -6, then to -5, in simply six minutes. A couple of half-hour later, L.A. dipped straight to -3.5, earlier than stabilizing at -3 (-120).

“It seems to be like Herbert isn’t going to go, so we moved accordingly,” WynnBet dealer Andy Morrissey mentioned. “The full crashed Underneath as effectively.”


After opening at 47 and sitting at 47.5 since Wednesday morning, the full made a precipitous drop this afternoon. It initially dipped 1.5 factors to 46, then steadily made its means all the way down to the present 42.5 at WynnBet.

Wanting into the Futures

Assuming Herbert’s damage is minor and causes not more than a one-week absence, bookmakers held agency on the Chargers’ Tremendous Bowl odds. Los Angeles was +1600 earlier this week at BetMGM and stays +1600 in the present day.

Nonetheless, Herbert’s NFL MVP odds have slipped over the previous week at BetMGM. Herbert opened +1400 months in the past and, after Week 1, was the +750 third selection, trailing solely Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes.

On Tuesday, BetMGM had Herbert, the +1000 co-third selection, tied with quickly rising Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts. Nonetheless, Herbert has now slid to the +1400 fifth selection.

Allen leads the NFL MVP odds pack at a tidy +280, adopted by Mahomes (+450), Hurts (+900) and Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (+1100).

Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for He beforehand labored for Covers and is a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting house. He’s based mostly in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Comply with him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.

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